Unearthing Potential: Rethinking Mining For A Net Zero Future

Smart mining integrates advanced technologies to optimize every stage of resource extraction and processing. Intelligent resource management improves decision-making and efficiency, while reduced excavation and movement minimize energy use and environmental impact. Autonomous mining drills enhance precision and safety in operations, and ore-specific processing pathways tailor extraction methods to maximize yield. Precision separation increases material recovery rates, and waste reprocessing ensures valuable resources are reclaimed, reducing overall waste and improving sustainability.

Smart mining integrates advanced technologies to optimize every stage of resource extraction and processing. Intelligent resource management improves decision-making and efficiency, while reduced excavation and movement minimize energy use and environmental impact. Autonomous mining drills enhance precision and safety in operations, and ore-specific processing pathways tailor extraction methods to maximize yield. Precision separation increases material recovery rates, and waste reprocessing ensures valuable resources are reclaimed, reducing overall waste and improving sustainability.

There is no net zero future without mining. In fact, in the decades to come, mining operations will need to ramp up considerably to unearth the vast quantities of physical material required to make modern life possible — from the metals embedded in clean energy and electrified transport systems to the minerals that support modern agriculture and infrastructure. That expansion creates a fundamental challenge: today’s mining systems are energy-intensive and resource-heavy, and increasingly act as a bottleneck for the clean energy transition. But this challenge also creates an opportunity. Advances in mineral discovery, data-driven mine planning, adaptive processing, selective separation, and waste recovery could dramatically reduce mining’s footprint while improving resilience and supply security. If mining can be made more precise, more efficient, and more circular, it won’t just support the energy transition — it will unlock the speed and scale required to make net zero achievable.

The Path We’re On

The clean energy transition is, at its core, a materials transition.

Energy and atoms: almost every climate tech challenge boils down to one or both. 

Energy allows us to do things: move, build, cook, transport, and manufacture. Atoms are the materials we use to build the physical world: buildings, bridges, vehicles, batteries, solar panels, wind turbines, transmission lines, fertilizers. 

To stabilize the climate, we need to decarbonize how we generate and use energy — and how we source and use the atoms that make modern life possible. 

Mining for a net-zero world is about solving two big problems at once: getting the huge volume of new atoms we need to build a clean energy system, and doing so in a way that doesn’t cause more emissions. It’s a tall order in a multi-trillion-dollar global industry. 

Demand for the critical minerals needed to build our net-zero future is expected to grow by up to 700% by 2040.

We need more atoms to build a clean energy future. 

Atoms don’t just fall from the sky. If it’s not grown, it must be mined — and even what we grow depends on minerals, from phosphorus and potassium in fertilizers to trace elements that enable modern agriculture. That’s why humanity extracts 100 billion tons of material — atoms — from the Earth each year. And demand is only increasing as the global population grows, living standards increase, and clean energy infrastructure scales.

In the long run, a net-zero future will actually mean extracting less material overall. Each fossil fuel atom can only be used once, requiring constant mining and drilling to replenish, but metals and minerals that go into making solar panels and wind turbines may not need to be replaced for decades. But during the transition, demand for certain critical atoms will rise sharply: lithium, nickel, and cobalt for batteries; copper and aluminum for wiring and grids; and rare earth elements for wind turbines and electric vehicle motors.

Mining for these minerals is projected to grow manyfold in the decades to come. Mining is foundational to the energy transition, so we need to get better at doing it at larger scales than ever before. Additionally, demand for structural materials (like steel, cement, and aluminum) is projected to increase, amplifying the need to reduce the emissions intensity of our mining and materials system.

We use energy to mine atoms.

While mining is essential to a cleaner climate future, ironically, it’s also energy-intensive and often fossil-based. Diesel-powered trucks haul ore. Electricity-intensive crushing and grinding reduce rock to powder. High-temperature processes refine minerals into usable forms. If we expand mining using today’s methods and the same energy sources, we risk embedding a new wave of emissions, land disturbance, water use, and waste into the very technologies meant to solve the climate crisis.

How is mining done — and is it possible to make it cleaner?

The basic stages of mining are as follows: 

  1. Discovery: Using modeling, remote sensing, drilling, and sampling, companies identify promising deposits of the minerals and other materials they need
  2. Extraction: Heavy machinery is used to remove large volumes of rock from the chosen site.
  3. Comminution: The extracted rock is crushed and ground into fine particles. 
  4. Separation: The valuable minerals are separated from the other particles using physical and chemical processes.
  5. Refinement: The minerals are refined into high-purity materials ready for use in things like batteries, solar panels, and electric vehicles.

Most emissions from mining come from two key sources: first, diesel-powered equipment is used in hauling, drilling, and excavation; and second, the energy-intensive processes of crushing, grinding and refining raw materials.

But emissions alone are not the full story. The deeper problem is inefficiency. Modern mining is remarkably imprecise. Vast quantities of rock are excavated, crushed, and chemically treated to recover a small fraction of the material we actually want. Valuable atoms are routinely lost to waste streams because we lack the tools to identify, separate, and process them efficiently. Processing plants struggle with variable ore quality. Tailings (leftover waste materials, including crushed rock, water, and processing chemicals) accumulate by the billions of tons. Enormous amounts of energy and water are spent moving, grinding, and treating material that never becomes a useful product. 

In short, today’s mining system is built for volume, not precision. To achieve a net-zero future, we need to mine more — and we need to mine better. That means rethinking how we discover mineral deposits, how we plan extraction, how we process complex materials, and how we treat waste — not as an afterthought, but as a future resource.

A New Way Forward

Smarter, more sustainable mining

Innovation Imperatives

Critical needs that can help accelerate the path to net zero
Mineral Discovery & Resource Access:

Develop new approaches to expand material supply and unlock critical atoms for the energy transition 

A net-zero future will require much larger volumes of specific critical minerals than today’s economy produces. The problem: material supply is constrained by slow discovery, limited geographic availability, and extraction strategies optimized for a shrinking set of high-grade deposits. This imperative focuses on developing new approaches to expand supply by improving how mineral resources are discovered, characterized, and accessed. Advances in data-driven exploration, geophysical sensing, beneficiation technologies, and integrated resource modeling can increase discovery rates, unlock lower-grade or previously uneconomic deposits, and expand the range of resources that can be viably mined — including tailings, waste streams, brines, and other unconventional sources. Over time, this category may also extend to entirely new frontiers of mineral access, such as deep-sea deposits or other emerging resource domains, where additional supplies of critical atoms could be unlocked if developed responsibly and at scale.

Related Technologies
Energy-Efficient Mineral Processing

Develop new approaches to reduce the energy and emissions required per unit of useful material delivered

Once material is extracted, mining becomes an energy problem: a large share of mining’s emissions and costs come from crushing, grinding, separating, and refining vast quantities of rock that ultimately yield a small fraction of valuable atoms. This imperative focuses on developing new approaches to reduce the energy and emissions required per unit of useful material delivered by transforming the most energy-intensive stages of mineral processing. Breakthroughs in low-energy comminution, highly selective separation, and adaptive refinement can sharply reduce energy use, water consumption, and waste — but achieving these gains requires redesigning processes, not just electrifying them. Because the ore extracted from a mine can vary significantly over time (while processing plants are typically built for fixed feedstock assumptions over decades-long lifetimes), the most promising innovations will enable processing systems to operate efficiently under feedstock variability and uncertainty. This is critical to sustaining recovery rates, controlling energy use, and avoiding value loss as mines evolve.

Related Technologies
Mining Circularity

Recover and repurpose critical minerals from mine waste and tailings 

Mining operations generate vast quantities of waste rock and tailings, often containing valuable minerals left behind by legacy extraction technologies, which tend to be less efficient. Historically treated as liabilities, these materials are typically stored indefinitely — creating environmental risks while leaving significant untapped material value. Advances in mineral processing, selective separation chemistry, and AI-driven process optimization are opening new pathways to recover critical materials from these waste streams, including emerging approaches like advanced hydrometallurgical processing and other high-selectivity separation systems. Integrating circular recovery directly into mining and processing systems will be essential to unlocking this opportunity — enabling operators to extract additional value from existing waste while reducing the need for new extraction and lowering the environmental footprint of mineral production.

Related Technologies

Moonshots

High-risk, high-reward innovations that could radically reshape our path to net zero
Carbon-Negative Mining

Turn mining byproducts into carbon sinks through accelerated weathering  

Mining consumes an enormous amount of energy to unearth vast quantities of atoms. In addition to the atoms we need to build the modern world, one of the byproducts of mining is certain rocks that can lock CO₂ away via the natural process of mineralization. Crushing, grinding, and processing these rocks — which we’re often already doing — can accelerate that process. It’s the perfect two-birds-one-stone scenario: mining could theoretically become a powerful tool for climate mitigation by enabling carbon negativity through enhanced weathering.

High-Efficiency Resource Extraction

Reimagine mining with zero waste, near-100% efficiency

What if we didn’t need to extract extra dirt to get at the minerals we’re actually searching for? This moonshot imagines mining processes that convert nearly every atom extracted from the Earth into usable products, drastically reducing waste. Today, large volumes of rock are processed for only a small fraction of valuable material, using tons of energy and creating negative environmental impacts in the process. Achieving near-100% atomic yield would require transformative advances in extraction and separation technologies, far beyond current capabilities. Unlocking this opportunity could minimize mining’s footprint while delivering the critical minerals needed for the clean energy transition.

Mining for a net-zero world is not about choosing between climate action and material supply. It’s about transforming how we understand, extract, and use the atoms that make decarbonization possible. That shift means moving beyond incremental improvements to fundamentally rethink mining as a system — one that treats efficiency, resilience, and material stewardship as design constraints rather than afterthoughts. New tools, data, and scientific approaches (including AI) are beginning to enable that transformation, opening pathways to dramatically reduce environmental impact while ensuring secure, scalable supply. We believe these imperatives and moonshots are where innovation can most effectively reshape mining’s role in a net-zero future.

The most viable solutions will:

Deliver meaningful improvements in material efficiency:

Mining is fundamentally constrained by how much value can be recovered from each ton of material moved. Solutions will have a fundamental advantage relative to incumbent technologies if they’re able to materially improve recovery rates, selectivity, and atomic yield — reducing energy, water, waste, and land disturbance per unit of useful output. Incremental efficiency gains or emissions reductions that leave underlying material inefficiencies intact are unlikely to be cost-effective and may even lock in continued use of emitting equipment.

Remain robust under geological and operational uncertainty:

Ore bodies are inherently variable, and mining and processing assets are designed to operate for decades under changing conditions. Solutions must maintain performance as mineralogy, grade, and feedstock properties change over time, avoiding value loss, rising waste, or escalating operational complexity as conditions shift.

Demonstrate compelling lifecycle economics:

Viable solutions must improve economic performance over the full life of mining assets — through higher recovery, lower operating costs per unit of output, reduced waste handling, or lower exposure to regulatory or remediation costs — rather than relying on short-term subsidies or idealized assumptions.

Proactively engage local stakeholders:

Working with local communities is crucial to ensuring the longevity of any solution in mining. The most viable solutions will perform well on metrics related to air and water pollution, noise, impacts on ecosystems, and tourism. The best solution providers will proactively engage with, listen to, and effectively address community concerns, maintain meaningful community dialogue over the lifecycle of the solution, and explore tangible pathways for delivering community benefits as part of project deployment.

Fit within long-lived, capital-intensive mining systems:

Mining infrastructure is expensive, slow to replace, and often designed to operate for 40–50 years. Solutions that integrate into — or incrementally upgrade — existing assets, workflows, and operating models, rather than requiring wholesale system replacement or frequent redesign, may be adopted and scaled more rapidly.

Scale across diverse geologies, regions, and mineral systems:

Net zero requires mining to expand globally, across a wide range of ore bodies and geochemical contexts. Viable solutions must be adaptable to different ore compositions and regional conditions rather than relying on highly specific geologies or narrowly available inputs.

Reduce total system risk, not just emissions intensity:

Mining viability is shaped as much by supply security, geopolitical concentration, and ongoing environmental and social risks as by emissions. Scalable solutions must improve resilience — whether by diversifying supply, reducing dependence on constrained regions, or lowering overall risk.

References
Climate Tech Map
@2025 Climate Tech Map
Opportunity Areas
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